Markets for hypothetical scenarios. Backed by real money.
2028 President·Democratic Primary
If they win the nomination, will they win the general?
Candidate
Wins general, given nominationWin % if nominated
Jon Ossoff
14% to win nomination
64%
Gavin Newsom
21% to win nomination
59%
Pete Buttigieg
5% to win nomination
59%
Kamala Harris
7% to win nomination
58%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18% to win nomination
54%
HypoMarkets.com
2028 President·Republican Primary
If they win the nomination, will they win the general?
Candidate
Wins general, given nominationWin % if nominated
Marco Rubio
31% to win nomination
50%
JD Vance
42% to win nomination
36%
HypoMarkets.com
Michigan Senate·Democratic Primary
If they win the primary, will they win the general?
Candidate
Wins general, given nominationWin % if nominated
Haley Stevens
52% to win nomination
57%
Abdul El-Sayed
48% to win nomination
50%
HypoMarkets.com
New Hampshire Senate·Republican Primary
If they win the primary, will they win the general?
Candidate
Wins general, given nominationWin % if nominated
John E. Sununu
70% to win nomination
48%
Scott Brown
22% to win nomination
40%
HypoMarkets.com